2025 Main Theme Outlook: Make DeFi Great Again
Original title: "2025 Main Theme Outlook: Make DeFi Great Again"
Original author: Ac-Core, YBB Capital Research
TL;DR
● World Liberty Financial, jointly initiated by the Trump family and top figures in the crypto industry, is gradually influencing the development direction of the industry. Its recent coin selection and purchase has also driven the growth of the secondary market;
● After Trump's victory, potential short-term favorable policies for cryptocurrencies mainly include: the establishment of a strategic reserve of Bitcoin in the United States, the normalization and legalization of cryptocurrencies, and the issuance of debt plans in conjunction with ETFs;
● The new interest rate cut cycle will allow DeFi to attract more capital injections, similar to the macro environment during the DeFi Summer from 20 to 21 years;
● AAVE, Hyperliquid Many lending protocols such as BTC and ETH have attracted widespread attention in the market, showing strong potential for recovery and outbreak;
● Binance and Coinbase's recent listing trends are more inclined towards DeFi-related tokens.
I. The impact of off-chain situations on the overall trend:
1.1 World Libertyfi and the Trump Administration

Source: Financial Times
World Liberty Financial is positioned as a decentralized financial platform that provides fair, transparent and compliant financial tools, attracting a large number of users and symbolizing the beginning of a banking revolution. Jointly initiated by the Trump family and top figures in the crypto industry, it aims to challenge the traditional banking system by providing innovative financial solutions. It expresses Trump's ambition to make the United States a global leader in cryptocurrency, aiming to challenge the traditional banking system by providing innovative financial solutions.
At the same time, affected by World Liberty Financial's purchase in December, the prices of related DeFi tokens have also rebounded, including ETH, cbBTC, LINK, AAVE, ENA, and ONDO.
1.2 Crypto-friendly policies to be finalized
The 47th U.S. President Donald Trump will hold his inauguration ceremony on January 20, 2025. There are three main favorable policies for crypto to be implemented:
● Trump reiterated his plan to establish a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve
Strategic reserves are reserves of key resources released in times of crisis or supply disruptions. The most famous example is the U.S. Strategic Oil Reserve. Trump recently said that the United States plans to make major moves in the crypto field and may establish a cryptocurrency reserve similar to the oil reserve. According to CoinGecko data in July this year, governments hold a total of 2.2% of the global Bitcoin supply, of which the United States owns 200,000 Bitcoins, worth more than $20 billion.
● Normal legalization of encryption
The Trump administration is in power again and may fulfill the complete legalization of cryptocurrencies. It is possible to adopt a more open policy in this field in the future. Trump's speech at the Blockchain Association's annual party: affirmed the Blockchain Association's efforts to legislate cryptocurrencies in the United States; said that real use cases like DePIN legalize cryptocurrencies and are on the priority list of legislation; promised to ensure that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies flourish in the United States.
● Crypto combination punch: consolidate the hegemony of the US dollar + Bitcoin strategic reserve + legalization of encryption + ETF = bonds
Trump's public and strong support for crypto assets has brought many benefits to himself: 1. Better consolidate the status of the US dollar and the US dollar pricing power of the crypto industry during his tenure; 2. Arrange the crypto market in advance to allow more funds to enter; 3. Force the Federal Reserve to move closer to itself; 4. Force the hostile capital in the past to move closer to itself.
As shown in the following figure, the US dollar index was around 80 in 2014 and the US debt was only about 20 trillion. Now the US debt has increased to about 36 trillion US dollars, an increase of 80% month-on-month, but the US dollar has continued to appreciate contrary to the norm. If the US dollar continues to strengthen, combined with the approval of the US Securities and Exchange Commission for the spot Bitcoin ETF, the new incremental part is likely to cover the future bond issuance costs.

Source data: investing

Source data: fred.stlouisfed
1.3 The new rate cut cycle makes DeFi more attractive
Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that core inflation rose 0.3% for four consecutive quarters in November and rose 3.3% year-on-year. Housing costs have fallen, but commodity prices excluding food and energy rose 0.3%, the largest increase since May 2023.
The market reacted quickly, raising the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates next week from 80% to 90%. Investment manager James Assi believes that the December rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion. Short-term U.S. Treasuries rose first and then fell, as mixed employment data strengthened market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates this year. At the same time, JPMorgan Chase expects the Fed to cut interest rates quarterly after the December policy meeting until the federal funds rate reaches 3.5%.
The recovery of DeFi is not only driven by internal factors, but external economic changes have also played a key role. As global interest rates change, high-risk assets such as crypto assets, including DeFi, become more attractive to investors seeking higher returns, and the market is preparing for a period of low interest rates, similar to the environment that drove the crypto bull market in 2017 and 2020.
DeFi's recovery is not only driven by internal factors, but also by Bitcoin ETFs, the legalization of crypto assets, and changes in global interest rates. The three factors will also make the future crypto market more affected by external factors. As interest rates fall, high-risk assets become more attractive to investors, which is similar to the environment of the overall crypto bull market in 2017 and 2021.
So DeFi benefits from two points in a low interest rate environment:
1. Lower opportunity cost of capital: As returns from traditional financial products decline, investors may turn to DeFi to seek higher returns (which also means that the profit space in the future crypto market will be further compressed);
2. Lower loan costs: Financing becomes cheaper, encouraging users to borrow and activate the DeFi ecosystem.
After two years of adjustment, key indicators such as total locked value (TVL) have begun to rebound. The transaction volume of DeFi platforms has also increased significantly.

Source data: DeFiLlama
2. In-chain growth drives market trends:
2.1 Recovery of lending protocol AAVE

Image source: Cryptotimes
AAVE V1, V2, and V3 share the same architecture, and the main upgrade of V4 is the introduction of a "unified liquidity layer". This feature is an extension of the Portal concept in AAVE V3. Portal, as a cross-chain function in V3, aims to achieve the supply of cross-chain assets, but many users are not familiar with it or have never used it. The original intention of Portal is to complete the cross-chain bridging operation of assets by destroying and minting aTokens between different blockchains.
For example, Alice holds 10 aETH on Ethereum and she wants to transfer it to Arbitrum. She can submit this transaction through the whitelisted bridge protocol, which then performs the following steps:
1. The contract on Arbitrum temporarily mints 10 aETH without underlying assets;
2. These aETH are transferred to Alice;
3. The bridge transaction is batched to transfer the actual 10 ETH to Arbitrum;
4. When funds are available, these ETH are injected into the AAVE pool to support the minted aETH.
Portal allows users to transfer funds across chains in pursuit of higher deposit rates. Although Portal enables cross-chain liquidity, it relies on the whitelisted bridge protocol rather than the AAVE core protocol to operate, and users cannot use this function directly through AAVE.
V4's "unified liquidity layer" is based on this improvement, using a modular design to uniformly manage supply, lending limits, interest rates, assets, and incentives, so that liquidity can be more efficiently and dynamically allocated. In addition, the modular design also allows AAVE to easily introduce or remove new modules without the need to migrate liquidity on a large scale.
With Chainlink's Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), AAVE V4 will also build a "cross-chain liquidity layer" that allows users to instantly access all liquidity resources across different networks. Through these improvements, Portal will further evolve into a complete cross-chain liquidity protocol.
In addition to the "unified liquidity layer", AAVE V4 also plans to introduce new features such as dynamic interest rates, liquidity premiums, smart accounts, dynamic risk parameter configuration, non-EVM ecological expansion, and build Aave Network with stablecoin GHO and AAVE lending protocols as the core.
As a leader in the DeFi field, AAVE has occupied about 50% of the market share in the past three years. The launch of V4 is intended to promote the further expansion of its ecosystem and serve potential 1 billion new users.

Source data: DeFiLlama
As of December 18, 2024, AAVE's TVL data has also grown significantly, currently surpassing the 30% level during the peak of DeFi Summer in 2021, reaching $23.056B. Compared with the previous round, the changes in this round of DeFi protocols are more inclined to modular lending and better capital efficiency. (For modular lending protocols, please refer to our previous article "Derivatives of Modular Narratives: Modular Evolution of DeFi Lending")
2.2 The strongest dark horse of derivatives of the year Hyperliquid

Source: Medium: Hyperliquid
According to research by Yunt Capital@stevenyuntcap, the sources of revenue for the Hyperliquid platform include instant listing auction fees, HLP market makers' profits and losses, and platform fees. The first two items are public information, and the team recently explained the last source of revenue. Based on this, we can infer that Hyperliquid's total revenue from the beginning of the year to date is approximately US$44 million, of which HLP contributed US$40 million; HLP strategy A lost US$2 million, strategy B made a profit of US$2 million; and revenue from liquidation was US$4 million. When HYPE was launched, the team bought back HYPE tokens on the market through the Assistance Fund wallet. Assuming the team has no other USDC AF wallets, USDC AF's P&L YTD is $52M.
So combining HLP's $44M and USDC AF's $52M, Hyperliquid's total YTD revenue is about $96M, surpassing Lido to become the ninth most profitable crypto project in 2024.
Messari Research @defi_monk recently valued the HYPE token, with a fully diluted market cap (FDV) of around $13B, which could exceed $30B under the right market conditions. In addition, Hyperliquid also plans to launch HyperEVM through TGE (Token Generation Event), and more than 35 teams plan to participate in the new ecosystem, which makes Hyperliquid closer to a general L1 chain rather than just an application chain.

Image source: Messari
Hyperliquid should adopt a new valuation framework. Usually killer applications and their L1 networks are independent, with application revenues attributed to application tokens and L1 network revenues attributed to network validators. Hyperliquid combines these revenue sources together. Therefore, Hyperliquid not only owns the leading decentralized perpetual contract trading platform (Perp DEX), but also controls its underlying L1 network. We use the aggregate classification valuation method to reflect its vertical integration characteristics. First, let's look at the valuation of Perp DEX.
Messari's overall view of the derivatives market is consistent with that of Multicoin Capital and ASXN, the only difference is Hyperliquid's market share. The Peap DEX market is a "winner takes all" market for the following reasons:
● Any Perp DEX can list any perpetual contract, and there is no problem of blockchain fragmentation;
● Unlike centralized exchanges, there is no permission required to use decentralized exchanges;
● There are network effects in terms of order flow and liquidity.
Hyperliquid's dominance will become stronger and stronger in the future. Hyperliquid is expected to account for nearly half of the on-chain market in 2027, bringing in $551 million in revenue. Currently, transaction fees belong to the community, so they are considered actual income. Based on a 15x magnification of DeFi valuation standards, Perp DEX as a standalone business could be valued at $8.3 billion. For enterprise clients, you can view our full model. Next, let's look at the valuation of L1:
L1 is often valued using a premium for DeFi applications, and with the recent increase in activity on Hyperliquid's network, its valuation may increase further. Hyperliquid is currently the 11th largest TVL chain, with similar networks such as Sei and Injective valued at $5 billion and $3 billion, respectively, while high-performance networks of similar size such as Sui and Aptos are valued at $30 billion and $12 billion, respectively.
Since HyperEVM has not yet been launched, a more conservative $5 billion premium is used to estimate the valuation of Hyperliquid's L1. However, if evaluated at current market prices, L1's valuation may be close to $10 billion or more.
Therefore, in the basic scenario, Hyperliquid's Perp DEX is valued at $8.3 billion, the L1 network is valued at $5 billion, and the total FDV is about $13.3 billion. The valuation is about $3 billion in a bear market scenario, and it may reach $34 billion in a bull market.
Three, Summary
Looking forward to 2025, the full recovery and take-off of the DeFi ecosystem will undoubtedly become the mainstream melody. With the Trump administration's policy support for decentralized finance, the US crypto industry has ushered in a more friendly regulatory environment, and DeFi has ushered in unprecedented innovation and growth opportunities. As the leader of lending protocols, AAVE has gradually recovered and surpassed its past glory with the innovation of the liquidity layer of the V4 version, becoming the core force in the DeFi lending field. In the derivatives market, Hyperliquid has rapidly emerged as the strongest dark horse in 2024 with its outstanding technological innovation and efficient market share integration, attracting a large number of users and liquidity.
At the same time, the listing strategies of mainstream exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase are also changing, and DeFi-related tokens have become a new focus, such as the recent ACX, ORCA, COW, CETUS, and VELODROME. The actions of the two major platforms reflect the market's confidence in DeFi.
The prosperity of DeFi is not limited to the lending and derivatives markets, but will also bloom in many fields such as stablecoins, liquidity supply, and cross-chain solutions. It can be foreseen that, driven by policies, technology, and market forces, DeFi will be great again in 2025 and become an indispensable part of the global financial system.
This article comes from a contribution and does not represent the views of BlockBeats.
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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk
Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:
To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:
Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:
(I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.
The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.
A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.
(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.
Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.
(III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.
(IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.
(6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.
(7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.
(8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.
(IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.
(X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.
(XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.
(XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.
(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.
(XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.
(15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.
(16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.
(18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.
(19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.
This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk
Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:
To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:
Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:
(I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.
The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.
A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.
(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.
Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.
(III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.
(IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.
(6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.
(7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.
(8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.
(IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.
(X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.
(XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.
(XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.
(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.
(XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.
(15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.
(16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.
(18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.
(19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.
This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.
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