Analyst: Currently, nearly 40% of BTC's chips are in a loss state, reaching the initial target level of the first round of decline in multiple previous bear market cycles

BlockBeats News, November 18th, On-chain data analyst Murphy announced on social media that Bitcoin's Profitable Supply in Percentage (PSIP) 7-day moving average has dropped below 70%, indicating that after this round of decline, nearly 30% of the entire chain's chips are now at a loss. If we exclude BTC that has not moved for a long time, lost coins, and similar addresses like Satoshi's, this percentage is expected to reach over 40%.

Murphy further noted that in the first round of decline from bull to bear market over the past 10 years, PSIP has always reached its current position, followed by a rebound after extreme emotional pressure, as seen in 2018 and 2020. Especially in 2020, it was further compounded by the March 519 Black Swan event. However, even if a rebound occurs, it may not be able to resume an upward trend, as there are too many chips in the market waiting to exit during the rebound.