Crypto Enterprise Influence Expansion Triad: IPO, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500

By: blockbeats|2024/12/20 15:15:01
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Original Author: "The Three Strategies for Expanding Crypto Enterprise Influence: IPO, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500?"
Original Author: 1912212.eth, Foresight News

MicroStrategy has been formally included in the Nasdaq 100 Index and will take effect before market open on Monday, December 23. This also makes MicroStrategy the first cryptocurrency company to be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index.

Subsequently, MicroStrategy's Chairman, Michael Saylor, anticipates that the Bitcoin mining company MARA will be the next crypto company to be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index.

Crypto Enterprise Influence Expansion Triad: IPO, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500

The inclusion of crypto enterprises in stringent benchmarks is driven by the increasing acceptance by the traditional fintech industry. From going public to being included in the top 100 index, crypto enterprises are triggering a trend of imitation.

The Wave of Crypto Enterprise U.S. Listings

The United States remains the world's leader in technology, with its stock market playing a vital role globally. The ripple effect of the crypto industry's expansion often involves going public in the U.S., leading to widespread visibility. Listing on Nasdaq provides crypto enterprises with positive impacts on legitimacy, funding, liquidity, and more.

The U.S. listing process and requirements generally adhere to high standards. Companies applying for listing are subject to specific requirements and regulations regarding recent company revenue, market value, market makers, corporate governance, financial reporting, and compliance reviews.

Since 2020, various players in the crypto market, including mining companies, exchanges, and crypto wallets, have gone public. In the exchange arena, Coinbase made its debut on Nasdaq in April 2021. Japanese securities firm and crypto exchange operator Monex Group merged its subsidiary Coincheck Group N.V., which subsequently went public on December 11.

In the mining sector, companies such as CleanSpark, Mara Digital Holdings, and Riot Platforms have listed. In the crypto wallet domain, Exodus Movement went public on the NYSE on December 18.

It is worth noting that some companies initially went public with businesses not related to the crypto industry but later transitioned into the crypto sector, as seen with companies like Riot Blockchain and MicroStrategy.

In addition to the above-mentioned encrypted companies that have gone public, companies currently preparing to go public include Bitcoin financial services company Fold, DeFi Technologies, and online brokerage firm eToro.

The US exchange Kraken appointed a new Chief Financial Officer, Stephanie, in November this year, with its CEO stating that it is preparing for the listing. The CEO of Circle also expressed in an interview in October this year that he has been eager to go public for many years and has not changed this vision.

In each cycle, many encrypted companies officially go public. In 2025, with the continuous advancement of compliance and influence, more encrypted companies may go public in the US.

Nasdaq 100 Index

After encrypted companies go public, the Nasdaq 100 Index has become a ladder to further gain influence and visibility.

The Nasdaq-100 Index is an index launched by the Nasdaq Stock Market, consisting of the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. This index reflects the overall market performance of these companies and is one of the key indices that global investors pay attention to.

Being included in the Nasdaq 100 Index means that the market value, stock liquidity, financial profitability, compliance, and other factors of a company meet its stringent criteria.

Over the past few years, MicroStrategy, with its Bitcoin accumulation strategy and remarkable profit levels, has ultimately won its ticket to be included in the index.

Since 2020, MicroStrategy has been using BTC as its primary reserve asset. With MicroStrategy's aggressive buying and the strong rise of Bitcoin in the new cycle, its stock price has also been rising. In January 2023, MSTR's stock price was only $150, but in March 2024, it surged to a record high of $1999.99, with a market value of trillions of dollars. In just over a year, its stock price has soared by over 1000%. On December 18, Michael Saylor announced that MicroStrategy's financial operations in the quarter brought shareholders a net income of 116,940 BTC, with a yield of 46.4%. Calculated at $10,000 per Bitcoin, the net income for the quarter is approximately $12.28 billion.

Not only has its stock price and profit levels performed well, but its market value has also fluctuated around the trillion-dollar mark, making it one of the few encrypted public companies with a market value surpassing a trillion dollars.

In addition, after being formally included in the Nasdaq 100 Index, it was also officially categorized not as a financial stock, but rather, based on its main business of "software as a service," classified as a technology stock.

MicroStrategy originally focused on providing business intelligence (BI), mobile software, and cloud-based services as its main business. Its main competitors include SAP AG's Business Objects, IBM Cognos, and Oracle Corporation's BI platforms. According to its 2020 financial report, MicroStrategy's annual revenue was $480 million. Since starting to invest heavily in Bitcoin in 2020, MicroStrategy has gradually been seen as a Bitcoin-related stock, and its main revenue business has also been influenced by Bitcoin investments, although its core business remains software and services.

For the crypto industry, the influence of the Nasdaq 100 may also inspire more companies to emulate MicroStrategy and join the ranks of Bitcoin investors.

Is MARA the Next Cryptocurrency Company to Join the Nasdaq 100?

Bitcoin mining company MARA has become the next company of interest that may join the Nasdaq 100.

Similar to MicroStrategy's style, over the past few months, MARA has raised hundreds of millions of dollars through convertible senior notes offerings to continuously accumulate Bitcoin. However, gaining entry into the Nasdaq 100 Index poses some challenges.

Although MARA is a non-financial company and its profit levels and company liquidity meet certain requirements, it still lags far behind MicroStrategy in terms of company valuation. Typically, companies selected for the Nasdaq 100 have relatively high market capitalizations, as companies must reach a certain scale to be included in the top 100.

As of now, MicroStrategy has a market cap of over $90 billion, while MARA's market cap fluctuates around $8 billion, making the two differ by more than 10 times.

In order for a new company to join the Nasdaq 100 Index, other companies must be removed. Although MicroStrategy is one of the three new additions, Illumina ($22.7 billion), Super Micro Computer ($19.8 billion), and Moderna ($15.7 billion) will be removed.

Currently, the imminent deletion of these three companies has a market value exceeding 15 billion USD, still more than double MARA's market value, casting a shadow over its inclusion.

MARA still has a considerable distance to cover to join the Nasdaq 100 Index; perhaps in the near future, MARA will be selected based on its performance data.

How Far Away is the S&P 500 Index

The S&P 500 comprises the 500 largest companies in the U.S., covering about 80% of the total U.S. stock market capitalization. The selection of component stocks is based on market capitalization, liquidity, profitability, and industry representation. The S&P 500 is considered a benchmark for the health of the U.S. economy and the performance of large-cap stocks.

In comparison, the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 have similar selection criteria, with high requirements for market capitalization and stock liquidity. However, the Nasdaq 100 places more emphasis on the technology and innovation sectors, serving as a key indicator for growth-oriented investments.

The S&P 500, on the other hand, emphasizes financial stability and profitability, which pose relatively high standards for mining companies and crypto firms with a hodling strategy.

It is well known that the crypto industry's four-year cycle is still evident, with market cycles often leading to significant company profits during bull markets. However, once the cycle shifts to a bear market and coin prices decline, it can have a significant negative impact on mining and Bitcoin asset-holding companies. In some cases, companies may suffer severe setbacks due to factors like cash flow.

In summary, the S&P 500's selection criteria may be generally higher as it considers not only market performance but also strict requirements for financial health and industry diversity. The Nasdaq 100 is more focused on market performance and innovation, with a relatively more automated selection process. However, for companies in specific industries, inclusion may signify higher market recognition.

The company meets the minimum market value and trading volume standards of the S&P 500 Index but currently does not meet other requirements: positive total earnings for four consecutive quarters.

Benchmark stock analyst Mark Palmer analyzed, "MicroStrategy has planned to adopt new Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) guidelines for the accounting treatment of Bitcoin held on the company's balance sheet starting in the first quarter of 2025, which will enable it to immediately report positive earnings."

Since launching its Bitcoin acquisition strategy in August 2020, MicroStrategy has incurred a cumulative impairment loss of 3.1 billion USD. In December last year, the FASB issued new guidelines allowing companies holding digital assets on their balance sheets to measure these assets at fair value and record changes in fair value net income within each reporting period. The new rules will be effective from January 1, 2025.

Palmer continued his analysis, stating, "MSTR is expected to achieve a one-time billion-dollar quarterly net income in the first quarter of 2025, which will equal the difference between its book value of Bitcoin and its market value. If proven, the net income growth, sufficient to generate positive figures for the past 12 months, along with MSTR's losses in the first three quarters, would bring the company to the inclusion threshold for the S&P 500 by the second rebalancing of the index in 2025, scheduled for the third Friday in June."

If the market conditions remain favorable, MicroStrategy will have the opportunity to be reselected for the S&P 500 index in June next year, achieving success in both the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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