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Greeks.live: Short-Term Bottom Formed Based on Overall Options Data, but Volatility Expectations Remain Elevated
BlockBeats News, November 26th, Greek.live researcher Adam posted on social media, stating, "In the third quarter, we observed that the options market was significantly optimistic about the fourth quarter. Even in late August when the Bitcoin price was continuously falling, the fourth quarter options positions were still bullish. We referred to it as the Q4 market or Christmas market at that time. However, the sharp drop in October and the continued decline in November have shattered the previous market structure. In the current market environment, the voices expecting a new high in prices in the fourth quarter have completely disappeared, and a bearish sentiment prevails."
Despite this week's decline in RV, IV, and 25D Skew, the market's panic has not disappeared, and medium to long-term option data from year-end to early next year still points to bearishness. As we approach the monthly expiration, there has been significant demand from whales for position rollovers due to the large price fluctuations this month.
From the overall data perspective, a short-term bottom has now formed, and the options market's preference for recent continued declines has waned, with a greater expectation of short-term market oscillation. However, the market in the last month of this year is still precarious, and volatility expectations remain high."
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