What is driving the recovery in US stocks and can it last?

By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/15 04:15:06
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Stock indices in the US have opened mildly higher on Wednesday after finally recouping their 2025 losses on Tuesday. The focus is now on whether US stocks can achieve fresh record highs that were reached earlier this year. The drivers of the recent US equity market recovery have been positive tariff news, trade deals and tech deals with cash-rich Saudi Arabia. This has sent US tech stocks soaring in recent days. Nvidia is higher by 13% in the past 5 days and it is extending gains once more on Wednesday, it is higher by more than 3%. Over the past month, the Magnificent 7 is no longer a drag on the S&P 500, as a whole, the group’s stock price has surged above its 200-day sma, which is a sign of upward momentum. So far this week, the Magnificent 7 is outperforming the overall S&P 500 index, which is a sign that investors prefer growth stocks over value as the US improves its trading partnerships with key nations and President Trump sells Nvidia chips to leaders of the Middle East. Chart 1: Magnificent 7 and the S&P 500 index, YTD chart. Source: XTB and Bloomberg For most of 2025, retail investors have been a powerful stabilizing force for the market. They were buying the US even as the market fell earlier in the year. The buy low message was a powerful driver for retail investors, since they ploughed in $67bn into US equities and ETFs in Q1 of 2025, down slightly from the $71bn they spent in Q4 2024. This suggests that 1, the retail trader was a powerful stabilizing force for US stocks when they sold off through to mid-April, and secondly, that the retail investor is becoming more important as a market participant. As a percentage of total equity market volume for US stocks in Q4 2024, retail trade accounted for 19.5%, up from 18.5% in Q3 and from 17% a year earlier, according to Bloomberg data sourced by XTB. The increase in retail trading can be accounted for by the massive surge in Big tech stocks in 2024, as the AI trade caught the imagination of the retail community. In 2025, investors seemed more concerned about missing a dip buying opportunity rather than buying into a bear market. Typically, retail investor sentiment has been used as a contrarian signal for more ‘sophisticated’ market participants. When retail traders were buying, other market participants may sell. However, in 2025, retail traders showed that they had the right instinct. The question now is, will retail traders continue to buy into this rally? We can get an indication of retail demand by looking at the CFTC data for noncommercial net longs for the S&P 500, which is released weekly. This suggests that retail buying has tapered off in Q2. The rally is being led by the big-name US stocks like Nvidia, AMD etc, which tend to be favoured by retail traders. However, retail traders may be ready to take profit at these levels and look for another sell off to extend their long positions. Thus, US stocks may not be able to rely on the support of the retail trading community to push indices to fresh record highs. Chart 2: Monthly ETF flows by region. Source: Bloomberg Monthly ETF flows also suggest that passive investors, which include a large number of retail traders, are favouring bonds as well as equities. There has been a notable shift back into the US, which has seen flows pick up over recent months, whereas flows into Europe have pulled back after peaking in November 2024. This supports the view that US stocks will play catch up with European equities for the rest of this year, it may also suggest that retail traders are favouring the US over Europe, which may help US stocks to rally in the future. Overall, the powerful rally in US stocks may be due a breather on Wednesday, as a lack of news flow curbs investor enthusiasm. However, we will be watching retail flows closely. If US stocks are to make fresh highs this year, then the retail trading community needs to be onboard. Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/what-is-driving-the-recovery-in-us-stocks-and-can-it-last-202505141531

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On March 16, 2026, in Dallas, Texas, USA, CanGu Company (New York Stock Exchange code: CANG, hereinafter referred to as "CanGu" or the "Company") today announced its unaudited financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. As a btc-42">bitcoin mining enterprise relying on a globally operated layout and dedicated to building an integrated energy and AI computing power platform, CanGu is actively advancing its business transformation and infrastructure development.


2025 Full Year and Fourth Quarter Financial and Operational Highlights


• Financial Performance:

Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $688.1 million, with $179.5 million in the fourth quarter.

Bitcoin mining business revenue for the full year was $675.5 million, with $172.4 million in the fourth quarter.

Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $24.5 million, while the fourth quarter was -$156.3 million.


• Mining Operations and Costs:

A total of 6,594.6 bitcoins were mined throughout the year, averaging 18.07 bitcoins per day; of which 1,718.3 bitcoins were mined in the fourth quarter, averaging 18.68 bitcoins per day.

The average mining cost for the full year (excluding miner depreciation) was $79,707 per bitcoin, and for the fourth quarter, it was $84,552;

The all-in sustaining costs were $97,272 and $106,251 per bitcoin, respectively.

As of the end of December 2025, the company has cumulatively produced 7,528.4 bitcoins since entering the bitcoin mining business.


• Strategic Progress:

The company has completed the termination of the American Depositary Receipt (ADR) program and transitioned to a direct listing on the NYSE to enhance information transparency and align with its strategic direction, with a long-term goal of expanding its investor base.


CEO Paul Yu stated: "2025 marked the company's first full year as a bitcoin mining enterprise, characterized by rapid execution and structural reshaping. We completed a comprehensive adjustment of our asset system and established a globally distributed mining network. Additionally, the company introduced a new management team, further strengthening our capabilities and competitive advantage in the digital asset and energy infrastructure space. The completion of the NYSE direct listing and USD pricing also signifies our transformation into a global AI infrastructure company."


"As we enter 2026, the company will continue to optimize its balance sheet structure and enhance operational efficiency and cost resilience through adjustments to the miner portfolio. At the same time, we are advancing our strategic transformation into an AI infrastructure provider. Leveraging EcoHash, we will utilize our capabilities in scalable computing power and energy networks to provide cost-effective AI inference solutions. The relevant site transformations and product development are progressing simultaneously, and the company is well-positioned to sustain its execution in the new phase."


The company's Chief Financial Officer, Michael Zhang, stated: "By 2025, the company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth through its scaled mining operations. Despite recording a net loss of $452.8 million from ongoing operations, mainly due to one-time transformation costs and market-driven fair value adjustments, the company, from a financial perspective, will reduce its leverage, optimize its Bitcoin reserve strategy and liquidity management, introduce new capital to strengthen its financial position, and seize investment opportunities in high-potential areas such as AI infrastructure while navigating market volatility."


Fourth Quarter 2025 Ongoing Operations Financial Performance


Revenue


The total revenue for the fourth quarter was $1.795 billion. Of this, the Bitcoin mining business contributed $1.724 billion in revenue, generating 1,718.3 Bitcoins during the quarter. Revenue from the international automobile trading business was $4.8 million.


Operating Costs and Expenses


The total operating costs and expenses for the fourth quarter amounted to $4.56 billion, primarily attributed to expenses related to the Bitcoin mining business, as well as impairment of mining machines and fair value losses on Bitcoin collateral receivables.


This includes:

· Cost of Revenue (excluding depreciation): $1.553 billion

· Cost of Revenue (depreciation): $38.1 million

· Operating Expenses: $9.9 million (including related-party expenses of $1.1 million)

· Mining Machine Impairment Loss: $81.4 million

· Fair Value Loss on Bitcoin Collateral Receivables: $171.4 million


Profit Situation


The operating loss for the fourth quarter was $276.6 million, a significant increase from a loss of $0.7 million in the same period of 2024, primarily due to the downward trend in Bitcoin prices.


The net loss from ongoing operations was $285 million, compared to a net profit of $2.4 million in the same period last year.


The adjusted EBITDA was -$156.3 million, compared to $2.4 million in the same period last year.


Full Year 2025 Ongoing Operations Financial Performance


Revenue

The total revenue for the full year was $6.881 billion. Of this, the revenue from the Bitcoin mining business was $6.755 billion, with a total output of 6,594.6 Bitcoins for the year. Revenue from the international automobile trading business was $9.8 million.


Operating Costs and Expenses


The total annual operating costs and expenses amount to $1.1 billion.


Specifically, they include:

· Revenue Cost (excluding depreciation): $543.3 million

· Revenue Cost (depreciation): $116.6 million

· Operating Expenses: $28.9 million (including related-party expenses of $1.1 million)

· Miner Impairment Loss: $338.3 million

· Bitcoin Collateral Receivable Fair Value Change Loss: $96.5 million


Profitability


The full-year operating loss is $437.1 million. The continuing operations net loss is $452.8 million, while in 2024, there was a net profit of $4.8 million.


The 2025 non-GAAP adjusted net profit is $24.5 million (compared to $5.7 million in 2024). This measure does not include share-based compensation expenses; refer to "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for details.


Financial Position


As of December 31, 2025, the company's key assets and liabilities are as follows:


· Cash and Cash Equivalents: $41.2 million

· Bitcoin Collateral Receivable (Non-current, related party): $663.0 million

· Miner Net Value: $248.7 million

· Long-Term Debt (related party): $557.6 million


In February 2026, the company sold 4,451 bitcoins and repaid a portion of related-party long-term debt to reduce financial leverage and optimize the asset-liability structure.


Stock Repurchase


As per the stock repurchase plan disclosed on March 13, 2025, as of December 31, 2025, the company had repurchased a total of 890,155 shares of Class A common stock for approximately $1.2 million.


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