XRP Breaks Below Its 1-Year Support Range: What’s Next?

By: crypto insight|2026/02/02 00:00:00
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Key Takeaways

  • XRP has slipped below its critical support range of $1.8 to $2.1, which had been steadfast for over a year.
  • The new potential support levels are identified between $1.70 and $1.75, with $1.50 acting as a psychological barrier.
  • If the price recovers above $2.00, it may stabilize and possibly reach towards the $2.50 mark; if not, it could descend towards the $1.50 and $1.30 points.
  • Analysts are divided on near-term recovery prospects, suggesting caution amid the ongoing downtrend.

WEEX Crypto News, 2026-02-01 13:59:10

In the realm of digital currencies, XRP finds itself navigating turbulent waters as it slides below a critical support range that had propped up its market stance for over a year. This pivotal support, situated between $1.8 and $2.1, began forming its steadfast presence towards the end of 2024 and had been a reliable protective barrier during challenging market phases. However, as of late, XRP’s descent past this zone marks a concerning juncture, urging stakeholders to ponder the potential paths ahead.

The Journey to Today’s Market Position

To truly appreciate the gravity of XRP’s current situation, it is crucial to revisit its recent market history. The price trajectory began notably in late 2024, during which it experienced a remarkable ascent from around $0.50 to over $2.00 within a brief period, capturing the attention of both market analysts and investors worldwide. This surge was not only significant in terms of percentage gains but also established $2.00 as a vital psychological milestone.

The early months of 2025 witnessed XRP embarking further on this upward journey, traversing into the $3.00 to $3.30 range. This climb, though exhilarating, wasn’t without its corrections. Price pullbacks tested the fortitude of the support zone around the $2.00 mark, highlighting its importance as a foundation during market fluctuations.

As the calendar turned through the second quarter of 2025, XRP’s market behavior exhibited consolidation tendencies. These manifested in prices gravitating towards and oscillating within the $1.8 to $2.1 support area. This period of stability served to fortify this range as a resilient support level amidst the broader volatility, a fact not lost on market analyst Krillin, who applauded XRP’s resilience in this zone despite the market downturn witnessed in Q4 2025.

Nonetheless, emergent recovery efforts briefly reignited bullish hopes, as evidenced by the price rallying to $3.66 by July 2025, marking nearly a sevenfold increase from the depths of November 2024. Such a sharp ascent ushered in a different phase—one characterized by distribution, marked by lower highs and incremental declines down to $2.80, subsequently $2.50, and eventually a return to the steadfast red support zone.

Current Evaluation and Prospective Support Levels

Esteemed analyst Krillin has noted that the once-firm support seems to be fracturing. Presently, the most immediate guardian lies between $1.70 and $1.75. XRP must cling to this range to avert further precipitous declines. Beneath this, attention turns towards $1.50—a level underscored by its psychological weight where buyers might attempt to stem the tide of falling prices. A breach here could open pathways towards the broader structural support between $1.00 and $1.10, where historical buyer interest might reignite.

The scenario flips on its head when considering potential upside movement. Here, XRP confronts stiff resistance just above current standings. The most formidable barrier looms at $1.8 to $2.1, the erstwhile bastion of support now repurposed as resistance. A rebounding move above $2.00 could pivot the narrative towards stabilization and gradual recovery, potentially advancing to the $2.50 level, leveraging the former support zone as a base.

Mixed Projections from Analysts

Amidst the backdrop of these support and resistance dynamics, differing opinions emerge among market observers regarding XRP’s immediate prospects. Analyst Protechtor epitomizes caution, identifying the breach below $1.95 as indicative of a rally devoid of firm legs. He characterizes the movement as a corrective step, suggesting that sustained selling pressure might usher XRP towards $1.60, aligning with a broader market strategy that hedges against further declines, notwithstanding lower-probability bullish outcomes.

In alignment, Twitter-based analyst Chart Nerd envisions potential downward targets straddling $1.50 and $1.30. He theorizes that the market could weather deeper stress at these points before stronger recovery signals materialize. Meanwhile, amidst these predictions, the critical question remains: how resilient is XRP in weathering these prevailing market headwinds?

Contextual Considerations

Understanding XRP’s price dynamics requires contextual appreciation of market environment factors beyond mere technical analysis. External implications such as regulatory decisions, macroeconomic shifts, and even sentiment-driven speculation all wield influence over cryptocurrency trajectories. Furthermore, momentum within its broader network and developments tied to technology upgrades or partnerships could alter market expectations.

Recently, XRP garnered notable attention as large withdrawals hit new highs, witnessing withdrawal addresses on Upbit reaching an all-time high of 3,200; such startling figures could signify shifts in investor sentiment or strategic reallocation of asset holdings.

Additionally, ongoing discussions around its market capitalization juxtaposed against traditional assets like gold remind stakeholders of the complex, multifaceted ecosystem XRP operates within. The liquidity and flexibility cryptocurrencies offer, juxtaposed with traditional stores of value and investment vehicles, fuel debates regarding future price ceilings and floor limits.

The Path Forward

Navigating the uncertain waters ahead, XRP presents a tableau of opportunities and risks, driven by its historical momentum and potential for future resilience. For traders, investors, and enthusiasts, the charting of XRP’s recovery or decline from its recent pressures will remain a focal point.

Reevaluating technical indicators and reestablishing trading strategies contingent on evolving chart patterns add layers to decision-making processes. These moves will complement broader research into network progression, noting that the iterative success of cryptocurrency ecosystems stems from adaptability amidst shifting global landscapes.

For many, questions around temporal price targets—whether reaching newly speculated highs or revisiting foundational lows—are both reflective mirrors of expectation and evaluative measures for risk tolerance. Once presumed improbable, the idea of XRP reaching various price milestones (e.g., the awe surrounding its previous journey to $0.25 now compared to talks of $100) underscores the enduring narrative: XRP’s story is one yet to be fully told, its chapters unfolding in concert with an evolving marketplace.

As market enthusiasts digest these trends and prepare for what lies ahead, judicious participation and prudent financial planning stand paramount. No guarantees pervade the trader’s path, only informed speculation, grounded in knowledge, and distilled by experience. With eyes forward, XRP’s holders and aspirants alike await its next act, mindful of the interplay between resistance overcome and new supports formed.


Frequently Asked Questions

What caused XRP to fall below its 1-year support range?

XRP’s decline below its established support range between $1.8 and $2.1 resulted from a combination of market volatility, sustained downtrends, and failure to maintain critical support thresholds.

What are the significant support levels for XRP now?

Currently, the next immediate support levels are identified between $1.70 and $1.75. Should these fail, the $1.50 mark serves as another crucial psychological barrier, followed by structural supports between $1.00 and $1.10.

Are there any implications for XRP reaching or exceeding the $2.00 price point again?

Should XRP reclaim the $2.00 level, it could signify potential market stabilization and pave the way for a climb towards $2.50, reestablishing previous resistance points as newfound support.

How do external market factors impact XRP’s price?

External factors, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic shifts, or network advancement, can significantly sway XRP’s market sentiment and financial positioning.

Is there a chance for XRP to recover from its current decline?

While analysts are divided, recovery possibilities hinge on reclaiming and maintaining key supports, alongside favorable external conditions and renewed investor interest.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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